Murray (4) vs Federer (3)
Federer has the opportunity to catch Pete Sampras with a win tomorrow in a couple areas. First he would tie him with 7 Wimbledon championships. Second it would propel to #1 in the world in which he would tie Sampras for most weeks at #1 and then a week from Monday go past him.
Murray is not only trying to break a long streak of a Brit not winning a major but trying to break that streak in the Brits home major. He’s been in 3 major finals but so far has come up set-less dropping all 9. Mind set will be key as the question is if he happens to lose the first set to make it ten straight, does he have the belief he can make a match of it and at the very least take his first set in a major final. Will he succumb to the pressure of trying to break the streak or will the home crowd lift him up when needed. I also like how his draw prepared him. Tsonga, his semis opponent, is a big server like Federer and Murray’s return game is spot on. It wasn’t the only big server he has faced the last two weeks and it has been a nice group of men to prepare yourself for needing a great day of returning against Federer.
Obviously both men have played a fantastic tournament but so far I’m a little more impressed with Murray. Federer had a weaker draw and while you can only play who is put in front of you, I like the fact Murray is more battle tested in the tournament. Federer did beat Djokovic in the semis but it seems Djokovic may have been under the weather a bit which partly explains why he looked sluggish and emotionless.
Federer has been here and done that and while on the wrong side of 30 for the tennis age, is going to be the favorite. Murray still needs to break through and take that first set in a major final. I feel the upset coming, the streak broken, and a massive celebration for the home crowd tomorrow. I’m taking Murray to break through for his first major in four sets. Sometimes he plays too passive against the top three men but this is where Lendl as his coach will come through and drill it in his head to be the aggressor. The crowd will lift him on their shoulders when he is down. Murray is ready to won that elusive major in his fourth final.